CUP YTD
32-23 +5.49 units (Match-Ups)
14-10 +6.35 units (Props)
05-27 +5.29 units (Outrights)
Total: +17.13 units
Lost my backside last week at Talladega thanks to the "big one part I". After reeling off 6 straight winning races I've lost on 2 of the last 3, need to nip that in the bud this week.
Match-Ups
2.00 units Kyle Busch (-105) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
Really liking Kyle here. This is statistically his best track (6.8 avg. finish in 8 starts including 6 Top 5's) he has done everything here but win. He's been in a bit of a drought since his win at Bristol (best finish has been 17th) but think he is about to get back on track with Richmond, Darlington and Charlotte next on the schedule.
2.00 units David Reutimann (+100) over Brian Vickers (@5dimes)
Really don't like Vickers on short tracks, and statiscally Richmond is his 2nd worst track in the series(9 starts and a 29.2 avg., his best finish in his last 8 starts is 24th). On the other hand, Reutimann is having a good 2009 so far and had a 9th place finish last race here, was very good in practice and qualifying on Friday.
1.00 unit Mark Martin (+100) over Jeff Gordon (@5dimes)
Martin and this Hendrick team seems to have turned the corner the last 5 or 6 races. This has always been a good track for Martin and is one of his favorites, was strong in practice and qualifying and looking for a Top 5 or better from him tonight. He'll need it to place in front of Gordon.
1.00 unit Kevin Harvick (+100) over Dale Jr. (@5dimes)
This is a play based on Harvick's history here, he has not finished outside the Top 10 in 8 races(6.0 avg). I know he basically has a new crew/crew chief but hopefully that will be a positive instead of a negative. If he can finish 6-8 that may be enough to beat Jr. who has been down on speed so far this weekend and not sure after one good race all the gremlins have been exercised from this team.
1.00 unit David Ragan (-120) over Jamie McMurray (@5dimes)
McMurray really struggles here for some reason. Has not finished better than 25th in 5 races (33.6 avg) and hasn't finished better than 19th since the spring of 2005. Ragan is not exactly great here (1 Top 5 in 4 starts and a 18.0 avg) but with McMurray's history here he is a play.
Props
2.00 units Kyle Busch (-115) under 6.5 (@5dimes)
This should be a good possibility if not a good probability
Outrights
0.75 unit Kyle Busch (+750) @thegreek
0.50 unit Mark Martin (+1200) @thegreek
0.50 unit Tony Stewart (+1000) @thegreek
0.25 unit David Reutimann (+4000) @thegreek
Good luck to everyone.
32-23 +5.49 units (Match-Ups)
14-10 +6.35 units (Props)
05-27 +5.29 units (Outrights)
Total: +17.13 units
Lost my backside last week at Talladega thanks to the "big one part I". After reeling off 6 straight winning races I've lost on 2 of the last 3, need to nip that in the bud this week.
Match-Ups
2.00 units Kyle Busch (-105) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
Really liking Kyle here. This is statistically his best track (6.8 avg. finish in 8 starts including 6 Top 5's) he has done everything here but win. He's been in a bit of a drought since his win at Bristol (best finish has been 17th) but think he is about to get back on track with Richmond, Darlington and Charlotte next on the schedule.
2.00 units David Reutimann (+100) over Brian Vickers (@5dimes)
Really don't like Vickers on short tracks, and statiscally Richmond is his 2nd worst track in the series(9 starts and a 29.2 avg., his best finish in his last 8 starts is 24th). On the other hand, Reutimann is having a good 2009 so far and had a 9th place finish last race here, was very good in practice and qualifying on Friday.
1.00 unit Mark Martin (+100) over Jeff Gordon (@5dimes)
Martin and this Hendrick team seems to have turned the corner the last 5 or 6 races. This has always been a good track for Martin and is one of his favorites, was strong in practice and qualifying and looking for a Top 5 or better from him tonight. He'll need it to place in front of Gordon.
1.00 unit Kevin Harvick (+100) over Dale Jr. (@5dimes)
This is a play based on Harvick's history here, he has not finished outside the Top 10 in 8 races(6.0 avg). I know he basically has a new crew/crew chief but hopefully that will be a positive instead of a negative. If he can finish 6-8 that may be enough to beat Jr. who has been down on speed so far this weekend and not sure after one good race all the gremlins have been exercised from this team.
1.00 unit David Ragan (-120) over Jamie McMurray (@5dimes)
McMurray really struggles here for some reason. Has not finished better than 25th in 5 races (33.6 avg) and hasn't finished better than 19th since the spring of 2005. Ragan is not exactly great here (1 Top 5 in 4 starts and a 18.0 avg) but with McMurray's history here he is a play.
Props
2.00 units Kyle Busch (-115) under 6.5 (@5dimes)
This should be a good possibility if not a good probability
Outrights
0.75 unit Kyle Busch (+750) @thegreek
0.50 unit Mark Martin (+1200) @thegreek
0.50 unit Tony Stewart (+1000) @thegreek
0.25 unit David Reutimann (+4000) @thegreek
Good luck to everyone.
Winning streak bay-bay!!!!!!!!!!!!!
